# Study 000D Manuscript

## Title

Selective Expression Versus Normalization In A Six-Year Altered-Mechanics Adaptation Program

## Core Question

Did the six-year system adapt through broad normalization, or through selective expression?

## Short Answer

The corrected full program supports a `selective adaptation model` in which successful running expression became narrower, more stabilized, more turnover-dependent, and only partially less costly, rather than broadly normalizing across contexts.

## Program Role

This package does not replace `Study 000A`, `Study 000B`, `Microstudy A`, `Microstudy B`, or `Study 000C`.

Its role is narrower and more direct:

- treat the existing study program as the evidence base
- define two competing adaptation signatures
- test which signature the corrected full dataset supports more strongly

The result is not just a comparison exercise. It is a program-level thesis test.

## Competing Signatures

### Normalization signature

If adaptation were trending toward broad normalization, the later system would be expected to show:

- broader successful running expression across environments
- less dependence on stabilized context
- speed gain distributed more evenly across multiple mechanical degrees of freedom
- better preservation of stride expression under higher-demand probes
- disappearance of unexplained session-level burden

### Selective-expression signature

If adaptation were selective rather than broadly normalizing, the later system would be expected to show:

- increasing concentration of successful running expression in selected conditions
- heavier dependence on stabilized context
- speed gain assembled mainly through the most accessible lever
- preserved turnover with more constrained stride expression under higher-demand probes
- improved efficiency without full disappearance of burden

## Methods

This study used only packaged tables from the already completed study program:

- `Study 000A`
- `Study 000B`
- `Microstudy B`
- `Study 000C`
- the yearly ecology source table bundled in `Study 000A`

The test was structured around six evidence families:

1. ecological breadth
2. mechanical gain pathway
3. higher-demand probe behavior
4. constraint persistence
5. internal cost
6. robustness after the full-data correction

No opaque composite score was used.
Each evidence family was evaluated directly against the two competing signatures.

## Results

All six evidence families aligned more strongly with `selective expression`.

### 1. Ecological breadth favored selective expression

The later system did not broaden outdoor running expression.
Instead, successful running became more concentrated in stabilized context.

The clearest late contrast was:

- `2025` running share of structured hours: `21.00%`
- `2026` running share of structured hours: `84.18%`
- `2025` treadmill share of running miles: `92.78%`
- `2026` treadmill share of running miles: `98.74%`
- `2025` outdoor share of running miles: `7.22%`
- `2026` outdoor share of running miles: `1.26%`

This does not read like broadening environmental tolerance.
It reads like narrowed successful expression.

### 2. Mechanical gain pathway favored selective expression

Later speed gain was not distributed evenly.
It was assembled mainly through turnover.

In the first-versus-last-30 QC-pass run comparison:

- speed gain: `36.11%`
- cadence change: `21.15%`
- stride-length change: `12.24%`
- cadence share of cadence-stride speed gain: `62.42%`

That pattern supports a system using the more accessible lever, not one remodeling uniformly.

### 3. Higher-demand probe behavior favored selective expression

The later outdoor probe set did not preserve stride expression near stabilized-context expectations.
Instead, turnover held up better than stride.

In the later specialized outdoor subset:

- cadence residual: `+11.15%`
- stride residual: `-10.58%`
- cadence above expected: `5/5`
- stride below expected: `5/5`
- vertical ratio above expected: `5/5`

That is one of the strongest pieces of evidence in the whole program.

### 4. Constraint persistence favored selective expression

Constraint-like signals did not dissolve as the program matured.

Two facts mattered most:

- `vertical_ratio_pct` was the lowest-variability mechanics candidate in `Study 000A`
- in `Microstudy B`, vertical ratio stayed above expected in all `8/8` outdoor QC-pass runs and `5/5` later specialized outdoor runs

The program therefore supports persistence of an anchored signal across context changes, not disappearance of constraint.

### 5. Internal cost favored selective expression

Efficiency improved, but unexplained session-level burden did not disappear.

In `Study 000B`:

- speed-per-HR rose from `0.01559` to `0.01768`
- HR residual shifted from `-1.59691 bpm` to `3.09257 bpm`

In `Microstudy B`:

- later outdoor mean HR residual: `8.67%`

So the later system became more effective, but not simply cheaper in all contexts.

### 6. Full-data correction favored selective expression

`Study 000C` corrected a real ecological issue:

- the early flagship window included `7` GPS-bearing hybrid cardio sessions hidden under Garmin `indoor_cardio`

But the correction did not overturn the main model.
It retained:

- phase-structured adaptation
- turnover-led gain
- conserved mechanics
- mixed internal cost

That is exactly what a robust selective-expression model should survive.

## Primary Conclusion

The strongest supported reading is:

`this altered-mechanics system adapted through selective expression rather than through broad normalization`

More specifically:

- ecological expression narrowed rather than broadened
- stabilized running context became more central rather than less
- cadence remained the more accessible adaptation lever
- stride expression remained more constrained under higher-demand probes
- burden improved only partially rather than disappearing

Put more directly:

`the program supports a selective adaptation model in which successful running expression became narrower, more stabilized, more turnover-dependent, and only partially less costly`

## What This Study Means

The contribution here is not a universal rule.

The contribution is a stronger within-dataset conclusion:

`successful adaptation in this system appears to have come from becoming more selective about where and how running could be expressed`

That is a materially stronger answer than:

- things changed
- one metric stayed stable
- treadmill was involved

It reframes the program around a broader adaptation principle.

## What This Study Cannot Prove

This study does not prove:

- how a normative comparison system would adapt under the same conditions
- the exact tissue-level mechanism behind selective expression
- that the pattern automatically generalizes to all constrained movers
- that treadmill versus outdoor fully maps the entire stabilization-demand ladder

## Bottom Line

Within this six-year corrected program, the data supports a `selective adaptation model` more strongly than a `broad normalization model`.
